The most recent poll to put Trump ahead of Clinton was a mid-May one from the Washington Post and ABC. In the immediate aftermath of his winning a majority of delegates, he was two points ahead of her. Now he is behind, according to the same pollster, by 12. Trump says that the poll includes too many Democrats. Even if he is right about that, though, the poll finds that he is losing support among Republicans. He has dropped eight points among them, to 77 percent. In the last four presidential elections, the Republican nominee–whether he has ultimately won or lost–has gotten at least 90 percent of Republicans’ votes.
Trump has also dropped in that poll among Democrats and independents, although not as much. He has lost support among men and among women, too. His gender gap is not especially large, at 11 points. At the moment, in this poll, he is just a very weak candidate across the board.
The latest NBC-Wall Street Journal poll shows a smaller decline for Trump: A three-point Clinton lead has become a five-point one. In this poll, too, Trump has disproportionately declined among Republicans: He had 86 percent of them following Indiana but now has 79 percent.
More Evidence Trump Is Losing Support Among Republicans